Saturday, May 16, 2020

Fiscal Relief Needed Now to Stop Massive State Job Loss From Becoming Permanent [feedly]

Fiscal Relief Needed Now to Stop Massive State Job Loss From Becoming Permanent
https://www.cbpp.org/blog/fiscal-relief-needed-now-to-stop-massive-state-job-loss-from-becoming-permanent

The "wait and see" approach that Senator John Thune and some other Republicans recommend for providing more state and local fiscal relief is highly unwise. States and localities furloughed or laid off nearly a million workers last month, new data indicate, and reports of more furloughs this month are widespread.


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NMHC: Rent Payment Tracker Finds 87.7 Percent Paid Rent as of May 13th [feedly]

It appears household rents are holding up so far, but not commercial. However,  CRs note observing that the reports behind the household rents are weighted toward "professionally managed" properties, not smaller landlords, affordable or subsidized properties.

NMHC: Rent Payment Tracker Finds 87.7 Percent Paid Rent as of May 13th
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2020/05/nmhc-rent-payment-tracker-finds-877.html

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Bloomberg: China Goes After U.S. Over More Than $1 Billion Owed to UN [feedly]

A  sign, IMO, that continued attempts to isolate China, or suppress its growth and international roles, will leave it no alternative but to challenge the US directly for global leadership. Further, if trumps fascist nationalism persists in angering Europe, AND Asia, China will succeed.

China Goes After U.S. Over More Than $1 Billion Owed to UN

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-16/china-goes-after-us-over-more-than-1-billion-owed-to-the-un

text only:

United Nations (AP) -- China is going after the United States over more than $1 billion that the Trump administration owes the United Nations in unpaid dues for its regular operating budget and arrears for the separate budget for the U.N.'s far-flung peacekeeping operations.

The unusual singling out of the U.S. non-payment by China's U.N. mission comes as President Donald Trump continues to accuse Beijing of not being open about the coronavirus when cases were initially reported in December and early January.

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A U.S. Mission spokesperson said China "is eager to distract attention from its cover-up and mismanagement of the COVID-19 crisis, and this is yet another example."

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said in early April that the United Nations faced a cash crisis because of non-payment of dues by member states, which has been exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic.

He said in a letter to the U.N.'s 193 member nations that "unpredictable cash inflows, exacerbated by the global crisis posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, seriously threaten" the U.N.'s ability to do its work. He announced a temporary hiring freeze and urged all countries to pay their past and present dues.

China's U.N. Mission said its acting deputy ambassador, Yao Shaojun, spoke at a U.N. General Assembly's budget committee meeting Thursday titled "Improving the Financial Situation of the United Nations," and stressed the importance of all U.N. member nations fulfilling their financial obligations, citing the U.S. arrears.

"Facing tremendous economic and fiscal pressure from the COVID-19 outbreak, China, the second largest contributor to the UN regular budget and peacekeeping budget, has managed to pay all assessed contributions in full," the mission quoted Yao as saying. "It shows China's concrete support to the cause of the U.N. and the work of the secretary-general."

The United States fund 25% of the regular U.N. budget, while China pays 12%. Of the 193 member nations, 91 had paid their dues in full as of May 13. China paid $336.78 million for the regular budget on May 1

U.N. spokesman Stephane Dujarric said Friday there is still $1.62 billion unpaid for the U.N.'s 2020 regular budget and $2.12 billion outstanding for the peacekeeping budget. He did not give the U.S. arrears.

China's Yao called the United States "the largest debtor," saying it owed about $1.16 billion to the regular budget and $1.3 billion to the peacekeeping budget.

The U.S. Mission spokesperson, who was not authorized to speak publicly, said the United States recently made a payment of $726 million toward its peacekeeping assessment "and per practice will pay the bulk of its assessment at the end of the calendar year."

Because the U.S. fiscal year runs from July to June, not January to December, it has always paid U.N. dues late in the year.

The U.S.-China dispute has been escalating over the pandemic, which has circled the globe causing over 300,000 deaths.

Trump suspended U.S. funding to the World Health Organization in early April, accusing the U.N. health agency of failing to stop the virus from spreading when it first surfaced in China. He said the agency "must be held accountable,'' accusing the WHO of parroting Beijing.

The U.S.-China dispute over the WHO has blocked the U.N. Security Council, the global organizations's most powerful body, from adopting any resolution on the pandemic.

China strongly supports the WHO and has insisted the agency's role in tackling the pandemic be included in any resolution. The U.S. insists on making no mention of the WHO and including a reference to "transparency" on the coronavirus outbreak, which China opposes.

China's U.N. Mission said Beijing has decided to donate $30 million more to the WHO in addition to the $20 million it already gave the agency to support its work on COVID-19.


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Elise Gould: Latest JOLTS data further illustrates the catastrophic COVID-19 labor market [feedly]

Latest JOLTS data further illustrates the catastrophic COVID-19 labor market
https://www.epi.org/blog/latest-jolts-data-further-illustrates-the-catastrophic-covid-19-labor-market/

his morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data for March, which further confirms what we already know: The labor market deteriorated quickly through the month of March. As a reminder, JOLTS data are for the whole month (not just mid-month, like the monthly employment numbers). JOLTS shows a net decline of 9.3 million jobs in March, while the monthly employment numbers showed a loss of 870,000. The difference is due to the labor market collapse in the last half of March.

Total separations hit an all-time high of 14.5 million in March. The increase from February of 8.9 million was nearly 13 times faster than any other point in the history of the survey, which dates back to 2000. Separations occurred across nearly all sectors of the economy, but the largest losses were found in leisure and hospitality, other services, retail trade, and education and health services.

The number of layoffs more than account for the total number of separations. Between February and March, layoffs increased by 9.5 million, hitting 11.4 million in March. In April 2009—the worst month of the Great Recession for layoffs—there were nearly 2.7 million layoffs, or 2% of the workforce. Layoffs in March were more than four times larger than the worst month in the Great Recession.

The layoffs rate—the number of layoffs during the entire month as a percent of total employment—hit 7.5%, more than three times larger than the series high. As with separations, the largest numbers of layoffs occurred in the service sectors. There were nearly 4.9 million layoffs in leisure and hospitality, almost all in accommodation and food services. There were more than 1.1 million layoffs in retail trade and 1.2 million layoffs in education and health services.

JOLTS

On the flip side, workers are quitting their jobs at much lower rates than in the pre-pandemic economy: quits dropped by 20% in March, from 3.4 million to 2.8 million. This is not a good sign—a large number of quits signifies a healthy labor market where people can leave their job to find one that is better for them. One likely reason quits didn't drop even further is because people had to, for example, leave a job to take care of a child whose school closed as a result of the virus.

Job openings fell precipitously from 7.0 million on the last business day of February down to 6.2 million on the last business day of March. While this drop of -813,000 was the largest one-month drop in the history of the survey, it's a bit surprising it didn't fall further given other labor market indicators. Hires also fell in March from 5.9 million to 5.2 million, again the largest drop on record. Nearly all sectors experienced a drop in hires, with the exception of construction.


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Friday, May 15, 2020

Economic Update - 2020 May Day Protests and Demands [feedly]

Economic Update - 2020 May Day Protests and Demands
https://economicupdate.podbean.com

A special program: interview with Kali Akuno, leader of Cooperation Jackson in Mississippi. As a leader of national May Day actions, he discusses their size, diversity, motivations and goals (including planned monthly national actions). He analyzes organizational challenges and prospects. Finally, he explains why he believes this May Day was a major strengthening of the US left.  

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Seven states saw increases in unemployment claims last week: Many workers who are not usually eligible have filed for unemployment [feedly]

Seven states saw increases in unemployment claims last week: Many workers who are not usually eligible have filed for unemployment
https://www.epi.org/blog/seven-states-saw-increases-in-unemployment-claims-last-week-many-workers-who-are-not-usually-eligible-have-filed-for-unemployment/

Another 2.6 million people filed for unemployment insurance (UI) benefits last week (not seasonally adjusted), bringing the total to more than 33 million workers filing for UI benefits in the past eight weeks during the coronavirus pandemic.

While most states saw a decline in UI claims filed relative to the prior week, seven states saw increases in UI claims. Connecticut saw, by far, the largest percent increase in claims (726.5%) compared with the prior week, followed by South Dakota (30.6%), Florida (26.9%), Washington (13.7%), Georgia (5.7%), New York (2.7%), and Wisconsin (1.8%).

Connecticut had a record-high 298,680 initial UI claims last week—more than any other state—followed by Georgia (241,387) and Florida (221,905). This comes after several states, including Florida and Georgia, have allowed restaurants and similar businesses to reopen, indicating that state policymakers are risking a greater outbreak with very little of the economic benefits they had expected.

Figure A and Table 1 below compare UI claims filed last week with the prior week and the pre-virus period, in both level and percent terms. It also shows the cumulative number of unemployment claims since March 7 and that number as a share of each state's labor force. In three states, over a third of the workforce filed an initial claim during the past two months: Georgia (35.8%), Kentucky (35.8%), and Hawaii (33.4%).

Figure A

Every state, especially many in the South, is continuing to see astonishingly high numbers of claims relative to the pre-virus period. Last week, Connecticut saw the largest percent increase in claims (11,471%) compared with the pre-virus period, followed by Georgia (4,409%). Eight of the 10 states that had the highest percent change in initial UI claims relative to the pre-virus period are in the South: Georgia, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi, Louisiana, North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Virginia.

The data we have provided so far has not included people who applied for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA)—the new federal program that extend unemployment compensation to workers who are not eligible for regular UI but are out of work due to the pandemic, such as gig workers and people who left their jobs to care for a child. Today's news release from the Department of Labor (DOL) provided our first look at the number of workers who have applied for PUA in each state. In the last two weeks alone, more than 1.8 million workers in 29 states have filed for PUA. Table 2 displays the limited information we have so far on initial state-level PUA claims. In the last two weeks, California reported the most PUA claims (434,397), followed by Michigan (224,057), North Carolina (142,302), Massachusetts (139,290), and New Jersey (127,334).

To mitigate the economic harm to workers, the next federal relief and recovery package should extend the across-the-board $600 increase in weekly unemployment benefits well past its expiration at the end of July. The package should also include substantial aid to state and local governments, worker protections, investments in our democracy, and resources for coronavirus testing and contact tracing, which is necessary to reopen the economy. The Heroes Act, introduced by Democrats in the House of Representatives on Tuesday, would provide critical relief and recovery measures for U.S. workers and is an essential step forward.

Table 1
Table 2

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Thursday, May 14, 2020

“People Ain’t Gonna Come to Work if They Don’t Feel Safe” [feedly]

"People Ain't Gonna Come to Work if They Don't Feel Safe"
https://workingclassstudies.wordpress.com/2020/05/11/people-aint-gonna-come-to-work-if-they-dont-feel-safe/

If you live in Iowa, you get to see a little bit of how the sausage is made, so to speak, especially if it's pork. It's a common occurrence to see long semi-truck trailers on the highways, with round pink hog noses poking out through the metal slots, three levels of about 175 hogs. You can smell the truck before you see it.

In northeast Iowa, the full trucks are all en route to the Tyson plant in Waterloo. Tyson has six pork plants (in addition to beef and chicken facilities) in the U.S. Collectively, they process 461,000 hogs per week. That's nearly 24 million hogs a year.

In Black Hawk County, Iowa, Tyson is the second leading employer(after John Deere), with about 2,800 jobs. The plant has long drawn Latino, Bosnian, Congolese, Burmese, and Pacific Islander immigrant workers, making Waterloo (along with other meatpacking towns) one of the most diverse cities in the Midwest. Students in Waterloo schools speak 45 different languages.

Triumph Foods pork processing facility in St. Joseph, MO. Photo by Preston Keres, USDA.

The work is hard. Meat cutters often work shoulder to shoulder cutting and packaging meat, on their feet the entire time. A current job description notes "heavy/detailed knife work, stunning, and/or saw operation. May require climbing stairs/ladders. Must be able to lift up to 150 lbs (2 people) and push/pull up to 280 lbs." — all while working in rooms that can be wet and slippery, with temperatures in some rooms as low as 35-40 degrees or over 90 degrees in others. The average hourly rate is $14.96. Shifts can run 10-12 hours, six days a week.

Large institutions with thousands of people in close quarters are perfect places to spread coronavirus. When COVID-19 hit Iowa in mid-March, I was sent home from my university to teach my classes online. On the other side of the county, Tyson workers carried on, in person at the factory. The situation mirrors the COVID-19 class divisions across the country: many middle-class people get to work from the safety of their own homes, while working-class "essential" workers risk coronavirus exposure daily as a condition of their labor.

The work of meatpacking is rarely in the news nationally, or even locally in the Midwest. Although the top four meatpacking companies employ nearly a half million people, in an industry that generates over $231 billion a year, but their difficult work is nearly invisible, off of the radar of the middle-class-targeted news audience. Stories like the Department of Agriculture's speed-up of pork processing lines last fall are covered as policy debates and rarely include workers' voices.

The coronavirus has changed that.

A quick review illustrates how the number of stories about meatpacking has skyrocketed. I searched the Nexis News database for the first four months of this year, using the search terms "meatpacker" and "worker." There were 718 news stories, and the monthly count grew exponentially during the first part of the year, almost like the virus itself:

Jan. 2020:        14 stories

Feb. 2020:       33 stories

Mar. 2020:      59 stories

April 2020:     612 stories

The framing of the stories has changed, too, as a deep concern about workers and communities spread.

The story of coronavirus in Iowa meatpacking plants blew up in the second week of April, as Tyson suspended production at its Columbus Junction, Iowa facility, with at least two dozen workers infected with COVID-19. Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds said Tyson would make the decision on when the plant would reopen, and that "they are doing everything they can, not just to protect the employees but to continue a really critical part of our food supply chain." Meanwhile, in Black Hawk County, at Tyson's largest pork processing operation, workers who have no paid sick days written into their UFCW union contract began a sickout in mid-April, refusing to work in an environment they called dangerous.

On April 18, fearing an enormous outbreak at the Waterloo plant, 20 elected officials from the area pleaded with Tyson to close the plant until all mitigation efforts could be completed. Tyson did not respond, and Reynolds refused to close the plant, lamenting that shutting down the factory might result in hogs being euthanized.

Finally, on April 22, after worker sickouts, community criticism, and more than 180 Waterloo worker COVID-19 cases and one worker death, Tyson closed the plant. That week, Iowa won the ignominious honor of having the fastest virus spread of any state in the U.S.

Hopes to get ahead of the virus lasted only a few days. On April 26, Reynolds announced her first steps to reopen businesses across the state, dismissing a report by University of Iowa researchers that "a second wave of infections is likely" if prevention measures weren't kept in place until at least mid-May.

This isn't just a political story. Local news media across the state are bringing workers' voices into the mix. Like most news organizations across the country, the Waterloo Courier doesn't have a regular workplace beat reporter. But Courier multimedia reporter Amie Rivers listened to what people were saying in the community and broke the story of the sickout at Tyson in Waterloo. Iowa AP correspondent Ryan Foley wrote moving stories about people who worked at Tyson plants and died from COVID-19. IowaStartingLine, an online publication, interviewed young Latinos and Latinas deeply worried about their parents who worked in meatpacking plants. Local TV stations and Iowa Public Radio featured stories of workers and meatpacking, too, as did CBS, CNN, NBC, and MSNBC. The New York Times podcast "The Daily" featured a heartbreaking half-hour interview with Achut Deng, a single mother, UFCW member, and Sudanese refugee who contracted COVID-19 at the Smithfield factory in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.

Iowa's meatpacking plants are only part of the story. Mike Elk, a labor reporter and founder of Payday Report, has literally connected the dots by mapping all of the instances of worker resistance. On his COVID-19 Strike Wave Interactive Map, he has recorded 184 wildcat strikes that happened since the beginning of March. The actions, all pandemic related, include Amazon fulfillment workers walking out in Tracy, California; fast food workers striking at 50 stores in Central Florida; and Richmond, Virginia bus drivers conducting a sickout.

On May 5, Reynolds finally released data showing almost 1,400 coronavirus cases at three Tyson plants: 221 in Columbus Junction, 444 in Waterloo, and 730 in Perry, the latest outbreak. The local newspaper headline in Perry read "Jaw-dropping 58% of Perry Tyson workers test positive." Two days later, the Tyson pork plant in Waterloo reopened with plastic shields spacing workers six feet apart. The day after reopening, Black Hawk County health officials reported that 1,031 Waterloo Tyson plant workers had COVID-19, more than 2.3 times the number of the state's undercount.

I talked with Samuel Stokes, the UFCW Local 431 union representative/organizer in Waterloo, about how the workers felt about going back. "People ain't gonna come to work if they don't feel safe. They don't care about being fired. They care about their lives and their family's lives." He said about half of the workers want to return, and about half don't. "They just pray that Tyson has their back. If they go back and Tyson is not safe, it will be the same thing all over again. They will voice their opinions."

It is hard to believe that it has been only about two months since the WHO called COVID-19 a global pandemic. Workers face the double threat of a deadly virus and long-term unemployment that increasingly rivals the Great Depression. There is no magical cure (sorry hydroxychloroquine, UV rays, and bleach), so we may well see more examples of workers and citizens forming a mutual solidarity for their own and their community's survival for months or years to come.

Christopher R. Martin, University of Northern Iowa


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