Thursday, April 2, 2020

The New Front-Line Workers: The Working People Weekly List [feedly]

The New Front-Line Workers: The Working People Weekly List
https://aflcio.org/2020/3/31/new-front-line-workers-working-people-weekly-list

AFL-CIO

Every week, we bring you a roundup of the top news and commentary about issues and events important to working families. Here's the latest edition of the Working People Weekly List.

The New Front-Line Coronavirus Workers: Grocery Clerks, Delivery Drivers: "Much of the American workplace has shut down, sending millions of employees home to wait out the coronavirus pandemic. Among those still on the job are grocery-store clerks, prison guards and delivery drivers. 'Who would have ever thought that we would be on the front lines?' said Joyce Babineau, a 67-year-old supermarket supervisor in Dartmouth, Mass., a coastal village 60 miles south of Boston."

AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka Discusses the Labor Movement's Respose to the Coronavirus Pandemic: "AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka joined Bloomberg TV this morning to talk about the labor movement's response to the coronavirus pandemic and why we need to invoke the Defense Production Act."

What Grocery Store Workers Need: "As of this writing, supermarket workers in Denver, Oregon and Washington state have tested positive for COVID-19. Here in New York City, two Trader Joe's supermarkets have suddenly faced temporary closures after workers at the Soho and Union Square stores became confirmed cases of the disease. The closures at these stores, which have seen huge increases in customer traffic since the onset of the crisis, highlight the dangers grocery store workers—performing their jobs in close quarters with other workers and customers—are facing, typically for low pay and benefits. The situation is set to become even more precarious as more New Yorkers become ill, with the peak of the pandemic apparently still awaiting us weeks or even months in the future."

AFL-CIO's Trumka: Coronavirus Relief Package 'Not Perfect' but 'Going to Do a Lot of Good': "AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka expressed support for the coronavirus stimulus package moving through Congress, although he said it's 'not perfect'."

'Just Keep the Faith': Workers Are Stepping Up to Beat Coronavirus: "The Machinists union and the AFL-CIO have circulated a brief video of [Trevar] Smedal as part of an effort to highlight the role union workers have played in addressing the coronavirus outbreak. Looking into the camera, he tells an anxious America, 'Just keep up the faith. I know that my co-workers, we're going to show up every day and we're going to get out as many as we can.'"

Nurses Call for More Protective Gear, Training in the U.S.: "In some parts of the country, nurses are already struggling to secure the equipment and training they need to safely care for their patients, while protecting themselves from the infectious disease. Without the proper protection or training, the risk is high for nurses, especially since they have the most direct contact with patients. To understand the impact this pandemic is having on nurses, The Takeaway spoke to Jean Ross, the president of National Nurses United, the largest organization of registered nurses in the United States, and Judy Sheridan-Gonzalez, a registered nurse at Montefiore Medical Center in the Bronx and the president of the New York State Nurses Association."

Who Is Most at Risk in the Coronavirus Crisis: 24 Million of the Lowest-Income Workers: "This week, unemployment claims soared as state and federal officials restricted public gatherings and shuttered stores to prevent the spread of the COVID-19. Using wage data from the U.S. Department of Labor and working conditions surveys from O*NET, we analyzed those who are most vulnerable."

Unions: "Essential" Workers Need More Coronavirus Protection: "Union leaders, representing workers that have been deemed 'essential' as Illinois battles the coronavirus, called Monday for more protective gear to guard members against infection."

Women's History Month Profiles: Roxanne Brown: "For Women's History Month, the AFL-CIO is spotlighting various women who were, and some who still are, leaders and activists working at the intersection of civil and labor rights. Today, we are looking at Roxanne Brown."

Fighting the Coronavirus: Making Ventilators: "Trevar Smedal is a member of Machinists (IAM) Local 1406 employed at General Electric's Datex-Ohmeda in Madison, Wisconsin. He and his co-workers are in a race against the clock to produce ventilators needed in the worldwide fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. Watch the video to hear Trevar's story."

Put Workers First: In the States Roundup: "It's time once again to take a look at the ways working people are making progress in the states."

Women's History Month Profiles: Jessie Lopez de la Cruz: "For Women's History Month, the AFL-CIO is spotlighting various women who were, and some who still are, leaders and activists working at the intersection of civil and labor rights. Today, we are looking at Jessie Lopez de la Cruz."

Talking About COVID-19: Labor Podcast and Radio Roundup: "In addition to the AFL-CIO's own 'State of the Unions,' there are a lot of other podcasts out there that have their own approach to discussing labor issues and the rights of working people. Here are the latest podcasts from across the labor movement in the United States."

Kenneth Quinnell Tue, 03/31/2020 - 11:27  

 -- via my feedly newsfeed

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

PK: Notes on the Coronacoma (Wonkish) [feedly]

Interesting take by PK on stimulus vs disaster relief target of federal aid, coming down solidly on the disaster relief bias. Until the virus is beaten, stimulus aid (keeping GDP up, for example) is like pushing on a string.

Still does not clear up what a real stimulus would look like after several months of quarantine....but...one step at a time, sweet Jesus!

  


Notes on the Coronacoma (Wonkish
)

Paul Krugman
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/01/opinion/notes-on-the-coronacoma-wonkish.html

Text Only:


The economic contraction we're experiencing is the fastest on record, by a large margin; we've probably lost as many jobs over the past two weeks as we did in the whole of the Great Recession. The policy response is also gigantic, several times as large a share of GDP as the Obama stimulus.

But it seems to me that we're still not having a very clear discussion of the economics of what's happening, why we're doing it, and what implications all this will have for the longer term, once the pandemic ends. So I've been trying to think it through in terms of a simple model — not even one involving any explicit equations, although I don't think that would be hard to do.

The main moral of this analysis is that what we should be doing — and to some extent what we are doing — is more like disaster relief than normal fiscal stimulus, although there's a stimulus element too. This relief can and should be debt-financed. There may be a slight hangover from this borrowing, but it shouldn't pose any major problems.

The nature of the problem

What we're experiencing is not a conventional recession brought on by a slump in aggregate demand. Instead, we're going into the economic equivalent of a medically induced coma, in which some brain functions are deliberately shut down to give the patient time to heal.


To simplify things, think of the economy as consisting of two sectors, nonessential services (N) that we can shut down to limit human interactions and hence the spread of the disease, and essential services (E) that we can't (or perhaps don't need to, because they don't involve personal interaction.) We can and should close down the N sector until some combination of growing immunity, widespread testing to quickly find and isolate cases, and, if we're very lucky, a vaccine let us return to normal life.

For those (like me) still receiving their regular paychecks, this period of shutdown — call it the coronacoma — will be annoying but not serious. I miss coffee shops and concerts, but can live without them for however long it takes.

Things will, however, be very different and dire for those who are deprived of their regular income while the coronacoma lasts. This group includes many workers and small businesses; it also includes state and local governments, which are required to balance their budgets but are seeing revenues collapse and expenses soar.

How big is the N sector? Miguel Faria-e-Castro of the St. Louis Fed summarizes estimates that are as good as any: 27 to 67 million people, which he averages to 47 million. That's a lot; we could be looking at a temporary decline in real GDP of 30 percent or more. But that GDP decline isn't the problem, since it's a necessary counterpart of the social distancing we need to be doing.

The problem instead is how to limit the hardships facing those whose normal income has been cut off.


Disaster relief with a dash of stimulus

What can be done to help those cut off from their normal incomes during this period of national lockdown? They don't need jobs — we don't want them working at a time when normal work routines can spread a deadly disease. What they need, instead, is money. That is, what's needed now is disaster relief, not economic stimulus.

OK, a few qualifications. Some idled workers may be able to switch to doing other things at fairly short notice — say, Uber drivers making deliveries for Amazon. But that can't absorb more than a small fraction of the idled work force.

A more important point is that if we fail to provide enough help to those afflicted by this crisis, they will be forced to sharply cut their spending even on goods and services we can still produce, leading to a gratuitous further rise in unemployment (and a multiplier process as laid-off workers cut spending even more.) So aid to those in the shutdown sector actually does include an element of conventional fiscal stimulus, even though that's not its central goal.

Finally, the sudden shutdown of revenue streams for many businesses is creating financial stresses that resemble those of 2008-2009, with prices of risky assets plunging and investors trying to pile into government bonds. So the Fed is right to be going all out — doing "whatever it takes" — to stabilize financial markets.

In other words, there are pieces of this crisis that resemble conventional recession-fighting. But the core issue remains disaster relief for those hit hardest by the lockdown.

How do we pay for relief?

Where will the government get the money for the $2 trillion bill Congress has already passed, a bill that's much better than nothing but still far short of what we should be doing? The answer is, borrow. Real interest rates on federal borrowing are negative; the markets are basically begging the feds to take their money.



But why is borrowing so cheap? Where's the money coming from? The answer is private savings that have nowhere else to go. When we finally get data on what's happening now, we'll surely see a sharp rise in private saving, as people stop buying what they can't, and a fall in private investment, because who's going to build houses or office parks in a plague?

So the private sector is going to be running a huge financial surplus that's available for government borrowing. And this is no time to worry, even slightly, about the level of government debt.

Still, the pandemic will eventually end. Will there be a debt hangover?

From the point of view of government solvency, none at all. We live in a world in which interest rates are consistently below the growth rate, so that government debt melts instead of snowballing. The government won't have to pay back the money it's borrowing, just return to a sustainable level of deficits (not zero) and let the debt/GDP ratio decline over time.

There might, however, be a slight macroeconomic issue when the pandemic ends. The private sector will have added several trillion dollars to its wealth via more or less forced saving; between that wealth increase and, perhaps, pent-up demand, there might — might — be some inflationary overheating when things return to something like normal.

This may be a nonissue in an era of secular stagnation, when we might welcome the extra demand. Even if it is an issue, however, it's unlikely, given the numbers, to be something the Fed can't contain with modestly higher interest rates. You could imagine a world in which the costs of the immediate crisis eventually require some future fiscal austerity, but I don't think we're living in that world.

Let me summarize where we are. We're facing a period of unknown length when much of the economy can and should be shut down. The principal goal of policy during this period should not be to boost GDP, but to alleviate the hardship facing those deprived of their normal incomes. And the government can simply borrow the money it needs to do that.


 -- via my feedly newsfeed

Nine in 10 farmworkers could be covered by the paid leave provisions of the Families First Coronavirus Response Act—but not if smaller employers are exempted [feedly]

Nine in 10 farmworkers could be covered by the paid leave provisions of the Families First Coronavirus Response Act—but not if smaller employers are exempted
https://www.epi.org/blog/9-in-10-farmworkers-could-be-covered-by-the-paid-leave-provisions-of-the-families-first-coronavirus-response-act-but-not-if-smaller-employers-are-exempted/

Key takeaways:
  • Starting on April 1, the Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA) will require employers with fewer than 500 employees to provide paid sick days and paid family and medical leave for workers if they have been impacted by the coronavirus, but the law includes a possible exemption for smaller employers with fewer than 50 employees.
  • The U.S. Department of Labor is currently developing regulations to implement the FFCRA and they are expected sometime in early April. The agency is likely to include guidelines regarding the small business exemption for paid leave, which will have an impact on how many farmworkers are eligible.
  • Data show that nearly all farms in the United States have fewer than 500 employees (99.8%); nine out of every ten farmworkers (88.3%) are employed on those farms and would be covered by the FFCRA's new paid leave provisions.
  • However, most farms are smaller and employ fewer than 50 employees (96.6% of all farms). If all farms with fewer than 50 employees are exempted under the small business exemption in the FFCRA, just over one-third of farmworkers (36.2%) would be eligible for paid leave—those employed by farms with 50-499 employees.

The Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA), the second of the three coronavirus stimulus packages passed by Congress in response to the ongoing pandemic, was enacted on March 18, 2020. During the period beginning on April 1 and ending on December 31, 2020, the FFCRA will require employers with fewer than 500 employees—but with a possible exemption for smaller businesses with fewer than 50 employees—to provide paid sick days and paid family and medical leave for workers if they have been impacted by the coronavirus.

The farmworkers who grow, pick, and pack the food that ends up on our grocery store shelves have been deemed essential workers during the coronavirus pandemic, but are vulnerable and need additional healthand safety measures in place to protect them from being infected by, and spreading, the coronavirus. One major agribusiness lobby has publicly stated that farm employers "would be losing way too much money" if basic safety measures were implemented, while some major producers report they're putting new safety measures in place. The current reality for farmworkers is that most lack paid sick days and paid family and medical leave—but if they qualify, the FFCRA could offer them a lifeline.

There are no reliable estimates of how many farmworkers may be eligible for the FFCRA's emergency paid leave benefits, but our review of the available data sources suggests that almost all farmworkers could be eligible. However, if smaller farm employers are exempted, just over one-third of farmworkers would be eligible.

Paid sick and family and medical leave under the Families First Coronavirus Response Act

Current federal law does not require U.S. employers to provide paid sick days to their employees. The Family and Medical Leave Act (FMLA) requires certain employers with 50 or more workers to provide up to 12 weeks of unpaid job-protected leave for specified family and medical reasons.

The FFCRA created a temporary federal paid sick leave requirement and expands FMLA coverage by requiring employers to pay eligible employees a share of their salary if they take leave for qualifying reasons related to the coronavirus pandemic. (For a detailed look at the benefits provided, see the fact sheet posted by the Center for Law and Social Policy and the Q and As and fact sheets posted on the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL)'s website.)

The new paid sick and family and medical leave benefits must be provided by all public and private-sector employers with fewer than 500 employees but the law includes a possible exemption for certain employers with fewer than 50 employees, allowing them not to provide paid leave if it "would jeopardize the viability of the business as a going concern." DOL's Wage and Hour Division is currently developing regulations to implement and enforce these provisions in the FFCRA, and its interim final regulations are expected sometime in early April. Presumably DOL will include guidelines regarding the small business exemption, and it's possible that small businesses will be able to apply for it.

Most farmworkers would be eligible for paid leave benefits, but not if small businesses are exempted

No one knows exactly how many farmworkers will be affected by the coronavirus directly and indirectly, but coverage under the FFCRA can be calculated by looking at the number of hired workers employed by agricultural businesses. There are three major data sources, but only one offers the level of detail needed to shed light on the number and share of farm employers and farmworkers who are covered by the FFCRA.

The Census of Agriculture (COA) is conducted every five years by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and publishes data on farm employers who hire workers directly but does not provide data on workers brought to farms by nonfarm employers such as farm labor contractors. Some 513,100 U.S. farm employers reported hiring a total 2.4 million workers directly in 2017, including 35,500 farms that hired 10 or more workers directly. The COA does not publish data on how many employers employed more or fewer than 500 workers, limiting its utility to estimate the FFCRA's impacts.

USDA's Farm Labor Survey (FLS) conducts surveys of employers to obtain data on the workers they hire directly. In April 2019, when the total number of hired workers was 629,000, 71% were hired by employers with 50 or fewer workers, while 29% were hired by employers with more than 51 workers (see Table 1). In 2019, when employment peaked in July, the total number of hired workers was 802,000, and 63% were hired by employers with 50 or fewer workers, while 37% were hired by employers with more than 51. Like the COA, the FLS does not report the number or share of farms that employ fewer than 500 workers, also limiting its utility to estimate the FFCRA's impacts.

Table 1

The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in DOL, reports data on directly hired workers and workers brought to farms by nonfarm employers such as labor contractors. Those data come from the information that employers provide to state unemployment insurance (UI) agencies when they pay the payroll taxes that support UI benefits. One major limitation of the QCEW data is that they cover only three-fourths of the estimated total average employment of 1.7 million in U.S. agriculture, because smaller farm employers in some states are not required to report to UI agencies and some employers are not required to count H-2A guestworkers as employees in their UI reports.

The QCEW reports employment by size of employer, but only for the entire United States (i.e., not by individual state) and only for the payroll period that includes the 12th of each month. Table 2 shows QCEW data for March 2019; we use March because it corresponds most closely to the nationwide farmworker employment levels in the same month the FFCRA was enacted. (Employment in crop agriculture is relatively low in most states in March except in Arizona and Florida; farmworker employment nationwide peaks in July.)

Table 2

Table 2 shows that the vast majority (99.8%) of the nearly 106,200 farm establishments in the United States that report to the UI system had fewer than 500 employees on their payrolls in March 2019, and these less-than-500 employee establishments hired 88.3% of all farmworkers who were reported to the UI system. A slightly smaller share of farms, 96.6%, had fewer than 50 employees, and they collectively hired 52% of all farmworkers.

These QCEW data suggest that the FFCRA could apply to nearly all agricultural employers that reported to UI agencies—and almost nine out of every ten farmworkers in the United States could be covered by the paid leave requirements of the FFCRA.

However, DOL's interpretation of the small business exemption in the FFCRA will ultimately determine the number of farmworkers who are able to access paid leave during the coronavirus pandemic. If all farm employers with fewer than 50 employees apply for and receive an exemption, then the FFRCA's paid leave benefits would cover only 3.3% of farm employers and 36.2% of farmworkers—i.e. those employed by farms with between 50 and 499 employees


 -- via my feedly newsfeed

Unions are giving workers a seat at the table when it comes to the coronavirus response [feedly]

Unions are giving workers a seat at the table when it comes to the coronavirus response
https://www.epi.org/blog/unions-are-giving-workers-a-seat-at-the-table-when-it-comes-to-the-coronavirus-response/

We have never seen such immediate and sweeping changes at so many workplaces in modern history. What are unions doing to ensure that workers have a seat at the table?

EPI reports and blog posts have documented the ways that workers through their unions solve problems and make changes that improve their lives and their communities. This includes ensuring broader access to paid sick leave and health insurance, two issues of particular importance in the current pandemic. This blog post, culled from public news sources, summarizes just a few ways unionized workers are using their bargaining rights to have a say in how they are going to safely and effectively do their jobs during the pandemic. We encourage readers to share their stories to add to these examples.

  • Teamsters have negotiated an agreement with UPS providing paid leave, and are pressing UPS for extra protections. The Teamsters' UPS and UPS Freight National Negotiating Committees and UPS reached an agreement that provides for paid leave for any worker who is diagnosed with COVID-19 or quarantined because a family member in their household is ill with the virus. According to Transport Topics, "the paid-leave agreement applies to about 300,000 full- and part-time hourly employees, primarily drivers, package handlers and mechanics, if they should become directly impacted by the novel coronavirus." The leave pay includes pension contributions. Workers who use paid time off to self-quarantine and are later diagnosed with COVID-19 can get that time back in their leave bank.

    UPS is also implementing other protective measures, such as altering delivery requirements to minimize direct contact with customers, specifically by not requiring signatures from customers. Efforts to keep workers safe are ongoing. For example, the president of a local Teamsters chapter in Boston is insisting that UPS step up its cleaning of trucks and equipment  These protections are especially important, as UPS union members will reportedly be delivering and picking up test kits and supplies for COVID-19 drive-through testing sites.
  • Teamsters have secured job security commitments from Waste Management. The Teamsters Waste and Recycling Divisionrepresents more than 32,000 workers in the private sanitation industry. The division sent a letter to the three largest companies in the industry—Waste Management, Republic Services, and Waste Connections—asking the companies to outline what they are doing to ensure the safety and health of sanitation workers and requesting specific changes to attendance and paid-time-off policies. Subsequent communications with Waste Management have secured proposals for job security, guaranteed pay, and excused absences for workers.
  • The United Auto Workers (UAW) is negotiating plant operations with Ford, GM, and Fiat Chrysler, including plans to make face shields and ventilators. The UAW represent about 150,000 auto workers at General MotorsFord, and Fiat-Chrysler. In mid-March, UAW officials urged the companies to shut down their factories for two weeks to protect autoworkers from the spreading coronavirus. The request followed union members' concerns that continued work at the plants would expose them to the virus (a worker at a Fiat Chrysler transmission plant in Kokomo, Indiana, tested positive for COVID-19) and was made the day before UAW members at a Fiat Chrysler factory in Warren, Michigan, went on strike to protest the unsafe working conditions caused by working in close quarters. Initially the companies agreed only to creating a joint task force with the union to implement protection measures for workers and cutting shifts so that factories would be cleared of workers on a rotating basis for deep cleaning of the facility and equipment. But shortly after that agreement was announced, the automakers announced plans to halt production at plants across North America.The UAW and the automakers also said they would work together on plans to restart the plants when it is safe to do so, according to a statement from Ford.

    Meanwhile, Ford and the UAW announced that they will start assembling plastic face shields —clear plastic shields that can be used to protect health care workers and others who deal with the public from virus-containing droplets—at a Ford manufacturing site, and start making ventilators at another Ford plant. As Reutersreports, Ford officials say the safety procedures followed to keep workers safe as they produce the ventilators "will be adapted from work Ford and the UAW have been doing to prepare for the automaker to reopen other U.S. factories." These efforts are part of a recently announced entree by the automakers into production of ventilators, face masks, and face shields for health care workers and first responders.
  • Communications Workers of America (CWA) and International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) have won paid leave for Verizon workers. According to Labor Notes, "the unions representing 34,000 workers at Verizon have negotiated paid leave for union members who can't work during the COVID-19 outbreak." Telephone workers, like many health care workers and grocery workers, are considered essential workers and thus must stay on the job. The agreement between the unions and Verizon specifies that workers will get paid leave if they are diagnosed with COVID-19, are directed by a doctor to stay at home due to underlying health conditions that make them vulnerable, have to care for a child whose school or day care has been closed due to the pandemic, or have to care for a person in their family who has been diagnosed with COVID-19. Labor Notes quoted a statement from Teamsters for a Democratic Union: "The paid leave won by the union at Verizon surpasses anything even raised by our International Union for Teamsters working in parcel, trucking, grocery, food, beverage, waste, and other essential frontline services that put workers at risk."
  • Service Employees International Union United Healthcare Workers West (SEIU-UHW) has secured masks for health care workers. SEIU UHW represents more than 97,000 front-line health care workers in hospitals, clinics, and other facilities in California as well as patients and health care consumers. After hearing from members about the lack of protective equipment, the union found a supplier and secured 39 million of the N95 masks, according to the Bay area NBC affiliate. The masks will be distributed to state and local governments and health care systems. Union officials also said they found suppliers of protective masks and face shields.

A broader seat at the table for all workers

Not only are unions helping workers at individual workplaces, they are also seeking a broader seat at the table for all workers.

For example, the International Trade Union Confederation, which represents 200 million members of 332 affiliates in 163 countries and territories, joined with the Trade Union Advisory Committee to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) to send a letter to G20 leaders. They called for coordinated action through International Labor Organization, World Health Organization, OECD, International Monetary Fund, and World Bank to "protect the health of all people and the incomes and jobs of all working people as the key to stability of business and the real economy."

The letters calls for urgent investment in public health and measures to support all workers regardless of their employment status, including those in the informal economy, including paid sick leave from day one; wage/income protection; managed reduction of hours where necessary, with government support to maximize income security; mortgage, rent and loan relief; universal social protection and free access to healthcare; and, child care support for frontline workers working in health care, supermarkets, pharmacies and other vital areas.

Keep the vital stories coming

Stories keep coming in of ways union workers are demanding protections and winning health and safety protections. In her recent blog post on the very ill-timed and harmful rulemakings affecting union organizing, my colleague Celine McNicholas notes how "grocery unions have won personal protective equipment, paid sick time, and hazard pay for their members." That is the kind of seat at the table that is so crucial—at all times, but especially now.

Please keep these important stories coming. If you have examples of unions winning critical provisions to help their members stay safe and navigate workplace changes during this crisis, please email me at lengdahl@epi.org.


 -- via my feedly newsfeed

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Despite COVID-19, Some States Still Blocking Medicaid Expansion, Seeking Other Restrictions [feedly]

Despite COVID-19, Some States Still Blocking Medicaid Expansion, Seeking Other Restrictions
https://www.cbpp.org/blog/despite-covid-19-some-states-still-blocking-medicaid-expansion-seeking-other-restrictions

While some states have responded to COVID-19 by quickly using Medicaid's flexibilities to help people maintain their coverage and remove barriers to care, others are instead restricting Medicaid. Some still aren't implementing the Affordable Care Act's (ACA) Medicaid expansion, even though they could collectively make up to 4.4 million low-income uninsured adults eligible for coverage by doing so, while others are advancing or proposing new restrictive policies that will take away people's coverage. These states should swiftly reverse course, especially since the pandemic and almost-certain recession are making health coverage more important than ever.

Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt took the most dramatic restrictive step on March 16, releasing for state public comment the first waiver request under the Trump Administration's recent guidance that invites states to seek federal waivers to convert parts of their Medicaid programs into harmful "block grants." When grassroots efforts to put a Medicaid expansion on the ballot this year gathered unprecedented signatures, the governor agreed to implement the expansion, and it's slated to take effect July 1. But instead of a straightforward expansion, which would provide Medicaid coverage to an estimated 200,000 Oklahomans — a number that would likely grow during the coming recession as people lose jobs and income — the governor's waiver plan would:

  • Take coverage away from people who don't meet a work requirement. Governor Stitt proposes to take coverage away from people who don't report 80 hours of work each month, even though federal courts have repeatedly struck down similar waivers in other states.

     

    While Oklahoma estimates that only 5 percent of beneficiaries will lose their coverage, the actual loss will almost certainly be far higher. When Arkansas implemented a work requirement in 2018 — which was less stringent than what Governor Stitt proposes — more than 18,000 people, or nearly 1 in 4 of those subject to the rules, lost their coverage. In New Hampshire nearly 17,000 people — about 40 percent of those subject to the rules — were on track to lose their coverage before policymakers suspended the program. And in Michigan, more than 80,000 people — about a third of those subject to the rules — were in danger of losing coverage before a federal judge suspended the state's policy.

  • Take coverage away from people who can't pay premiums. Oklahomans newly eligible for coverage through the Medicaid expansion wouldn't get it until they make a monthly premium payment, and any missed payments would end their coverage. Studies have consistently found that requiring premium payments causes people to lose Medicaid coverage and become uninsured.

  • Make it harder for people to enroll in coverage. Oklahoma's waiver proposal would eliminate hospital presumptive eligibility, which lets qualified entities like hospitals and other providers enroll people in coverage. As we've explained, states should expand their use of this option right now, since it offers an expedited pathway to enrollment during a public health emergency.

  • Make it harder for people to get to the doctor. The proposal would eliminate non-emergency medical transportation (NEMT), an important benefit for low-income adults, who often face transportation barriers. People rely on NEMT to reach appointments for behavioral health services, dialysis, preventive services, and specialist visits, among others.

  • Put Oklahoma's federal funding for the Medicaid expansion at risk. The pandemic and likely recession illustrate the importance of Medicaid's funding structure: as more people sign up for Medicaid or per-person costs rise when people need expensive care related to COVID-19, federal funding automatically rises to cover most of the extra costs. Yet Oklahoma seeks to become the first state to impose a limit on its federal Medicaid dollars and put itself on the hook for 100 percent of the costs from higher-than-expected per-person costs for expansion enrollees.

Meanwhile, lawmakers in other states blocked efforts to expand Medicaid coverage or are moving forward with policies to take Medicaid away from people unable to meet work requirements.

  • In Kansas, a small group of Republican legislators blocked a bipartisan Medicaid expansion bill that would make an estimated 150,000 Kansans eligible for Medicaid — a number that would likely grow in a recession.

  • In Nebraska, voters passed a ballot initiative in 2018 to expand Medicaid, but Governor Pete Ricketts has refused to implement a straightforward expansion, insisting on a complex alternative that won't be in place until October and will likely deprive many Nebraskans of access to needed care. Even with COVID-19, the governor has refused calls to accelerate the expansion, which would provide Medicaid to approximately 80,000 Nebraskans — again, likely more in a recession.

  • Utah voters also expanded Medicaid through a ballot initiative in 2018 but, after delaying the implementation of a full expansion, Governor Gary Herbert and state legislature insisted on adding a policy taking coverage away from people who don't meet work requirements. Utah hasn't altered its policy in response to COVID-19 and the coming recession, even though the policy requires people to work 120 hours a month or report 48 job searches in three months in order to maintain their coverage.


 -- via my feedly newsfeed

Monday, March 30, 2020

Lots of cash, including pro-worker cash; very little pro-worker policy [feedly]

excellent review of the 2.2 Trillion from Mark Gruenberg

Lots of cash, including pro-worker cash; very little pro-worker policy

https://www.peoplesworld.org/article/lots-of-cash-including-pro-worker-cash-very-little-pro-worker-policy/

WASHINGTON—The $2.2 trillion coronavirus economic impact bill Congress President Donald Trump says he will sign contains a lot of pro-worker cash – and very little pro-worker policy.

It wasn't for lack of trying, at least by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif. She produced an alternative with the same spending – but festooned with pro-worker sections.

That version had items ranging from mandates on firms getting federal funds that they (a) limit executive pay and (b) pay their workers at least $15 an hour, to repeal of Trump's anti-federal worker executive orders, and even, Pelosi said, pension reform.

But her measure got sidelined. On the other hand, Pelosi, rightly, called McConnell's original business-weighted bill "a non-starter."

AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka, appearing on Fox Business – despite that network's pro-Trump tilt – had a mixed reaction. "The (Senate) bill makes many important investments" but "it falls short in protecting frontline workers and does nothing to preserve America's pensions," he said in part.

Service Employees President Mary Kay Henry agreed, calling the measure "a good first step to address the economic and health problems faced by working people of all races and ethnicities." But it's "no substitute" for coordinated administration action.

"We still need to do more," she said. "Congress should immediately begin work on a new bill that ensures every working American has paid sick days, everyone can get coronavirus testing and treatment free of charge, no matter their immigration status, and working people continue to come before corporations. In particular, continuing to bar Dreamers, TPS-holders, and undocumented families from access to testing and medical services will have devastating public health consequences."

Their comments came after Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., reached a bargain with Senate Democrats, and senators passed it. Headline items for workers are the $1,200-per-adult and $500-per-child checks, four months of extended and expanded jobless benefits and a strict independent check on the $500 billion corporate "slush fund" Trump proposed. The Senate GOP tried to cut the jobless benefits but failed on a 48-48 tie vote.

"If we err on the side of giving a hardworking family an extra $1,000 or $2,000 because of our approach, so be it. No apologies," Minority Whip Dick Durbin, D-Ill., told Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C.

Pelosi promised the House would pass the  $2.2 trillion bill on March 27. She had little alternative. After the Senate got done, McConnell – unbelievably – sent the Senate into recess for three weeks, leaving Pelosi and House Democrats with their own "take it or leave it" vote.

"We held the line against so many of the ideological issues the Democrats and specifically the Speaker of the House tried to put into this legislation," Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., crowed during floor debate.

Not all was lost for workers. Sens. Maria Cantwell, D-Wash., and Bernie Sanders, Ind-Vt., pointed out that traditional jobless benefits apply only to workers whose firms pay Social Security and Medicare payroll taxes, and most importantly, jobless benefits levies, on their behalf.

That leaves out millions of misclassified "independent contractors," as well as gig economy workers and other workers such as home health care aides.

"For all kinds of absurd reasons having to do with  Republican attacks on workers for many years, fewer than 50% of workers today are eligible for unemployment benefits," Sanders said.

"What this bill does, rightly so, is say that in the midst of this terrible economic crisis where…some economists are estimating that by June, unemployment could be 20% or 30%, and what this bill does say is that whether or not you are eligible for unemployment today, you are going to get unemployment compensation.

"And that means many of the gig workers, many of the waitresses and waiters who make starvation minimum wages, many so-called 'independent contractors' will be eligible for the extended unemployment benefits. And that is exactly the right thing."

Cantwell agreed, adding: "I wish we would have come to terms on even allowing for COBRA enhancements, particularly for the aerospace sector," which has already seen 13,000 layoffs, according to its leading union, the Machinists.

"It is so important in fighting this disease that we not only take care of unemployment benefits, but we also make sure people in unemployment have access to health care. We can't be in the midst of a pandemic and not give people affordable access to healthcare," she said.

And, in an ironic twist, the coronavirus economic aid bill was attached to a pro-worker piece of legislation, S748, the permanent repeal of the so-called "Cadillac tax" on high-value, high-cost health insurance plans.

The coronavirus economic aid bill is supposed to be temporary, with many expiration dates on or before Dec. 31. The lead Senate Democratic bargainer, Minority Leader Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., predicted it won't be.

"This legislation will be with us not for days and not for weeks, not even for months, but probably for years. To improve this legislation was worth taking an extra day or two, improving it after the Republican leader just put it down without consulting us and tried to say 'take it or leave it,'" he said.

And its jobless benefits section is "unemployment insurance on steroids," he added.

Pelosi told reporters on March 26 the Dems won't give up, when she started looking forwards towards passing the next coronavirus economic aid bill – but not before refuting Barrasso and McConnell.

"We did jujitsu on it," she said of McConnell's measure. "It went from a corporate-first proposal that the Republicans put forth in the Senate to a Democratic workers' first legislation."

The next measure, she promised, would mandate not just free testing of people for the coronavirus – paid for by the government – but free treatment as well. It would also have "a better definition of who qualifies for family and medical leave" a 15% increase in food stamp funds, and "stronger OSHA protection for our workers," which she called "essential, essential to life.

The GOP bounced that House Democratic provision requiring OSHA to implement an emergency health care standard, now, requiring hospitals, nursing homes, and other health care facilities to implement and enforce protection plans for their workers against airborne ills – such as the coronavirus.

That's a key goal of National Nurses United, both temporarily and permanently. Trump ordered OSHA to shelve it. As soon as the stimulus bill passed, four Senate Democrats introduced S3568 to force Trump to use his emergency powers to order OSHA to write the rule.

"We would have added even more support for Medicaid, hospitals, community health centers, nursing homes, and new patient protections to ensure everyone with coronavirus can access and afford treatment," Schumer added.

"We would have increased food assistance. We would have included more relief for student borrowers and prohibitions on evictions and foreclosures on Americans for the duration of the crisis. We have gotten many of those but not all on evictions and foreclosures." Sens. Doug Jones, D-Ala., and Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, introduced an eviction ban, also after the money bill passed.

While there was "jujitsu" by the GOP on policy, money was another matter, with one exception in each category: The legislation bans more funds for Trump's Mexican Wall, and it shorts Washington, D.C., by $700 million.

"Importantly, the bill will not permit the transfer of emergency funding" intended "to battle COVID–19" – the official name for the coronavirus — "to the president's misguided projects including the border wall," said. Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., the top Democrat on the Senate panel which actually helps dole out federal funds.

Three provisions in the Homeland Security section of the bill confirm that transfer ban, though they don't mention the wall by name.

Banning the wall wasn't the only anti-Trump zinger in the legislation. Sen. James Lankford, R-Okla., a right-wing Trumpite said the measure included "a neat little feature …that no son or daughter or family member or any individual that works with the presidency, vice presidency, or the Congress could get any of the grant programs, loan programs" in the money bill.

"In fact, the language they demanded was interesting: No son-in-law could get that," Lankford continued. "I  wonder: Who could that be targeted toward? A particular son-in-law that might be there," Trump son-in-law and aide Jared Kushner.

As for shorting, D.C., the heavily Democratic and majority-minority capital city is a favorite GOP whipping boy and lab for right-wing ideological experiments.  It was in line, using a formula for distributing funds to states, for a base of $1.25 billion in general money from the bill., before other targeted funds. The GOP called D.C. a "territory" and gave it a territory's pro-rated share, cutting the base to $550 million. That gave "heartburn" to Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md.

Other key items picked out from a close reading of the bill include, but are not limited to:

  • No use by firms of federal money for stock buybacks, high executive compensation or CEO bonus pay for as long as firms take the cash – and a year afterwards. And, Schumer said, and reading of the bill confirmed, protection of collective bargaining agreements.
  • Provisions, especially in the airline industry, but also at hub airports, against furloughs, despite a horrific decline in passengers after imposition of all the "shelter in place" orders in the states.

SEIU's Henry said the airline money earmarks $3 billion to keep 125,000 frontline airport workers on the job. The bill doesn't give a figure but says hub airports will get extra subsidies to keep 90% of their workers – cleaners, luggage handlers, and others — on payrolls, unless doing so would drive the hubs financially under.

  • A job retention tax credit for firms, inserted by Sens. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., and Ben Cardin, D-Md. It "allows companies that furloughed workers to bring those workers back and get a credit up to 50% of that wage, up to $10,000, as a tax credit in order to bring back those workers," Cardin said.

That provision, and others, "will also allow companies to furlough workers so they can stay on as employees, so when, God willing, this crisis abates, they can quickly resume work with their employer and businesses can reassemble," Schumer said.

  • $150 billion for state governments and $8 billion for tribal governments. Schumer predicted they'd need it as their workloads would increase – with applications at state unemployment agencies for jobless benefits – as their revenues crashed. He was right on the first count, the very next day: New claims for unemployment insurance soared to a record 3.28 million for the week ending March 21. AFSCME forecasts the states will be short of both money and workers.

"My Republican friends didn't want to do it," during their closed-door talks, Schumer said. "But they had to do it, because local governments are hurting."

"If anyone thinks, just passing this bill, that tomorrow everything is going to flow smoothly, you are sadly mistaken," Sanders warned. "This is a complicated, multifaceted bill, and it is going to take an enormous amount of work to make sure the money goes where it should go in a cost-effective way."

  • $25 billion to keep the nation's bus and subway systems afloat, despite drastic declines in ridership. Without it, members of the Amalgamated Transit Union and the Transport Workers would lose even more jobs than they already have.
  • The Democrats banned Trump from spending more money to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, despite low current oil prices. That pissed off right-wing oil-state Sen. Lankford. "It will actually cost us more money in the future," he fumed. "But it was their intention to say that we don't want oil companies to get any support in this downturn."
  • $75 million each for the National Endowment for the Arts and the National Endowment for the Humanities. Sen. Tom Udall, D-N.M., pushed those funds, to help artists whose suddenly lost gigs and income when arenas, concert halls, arts festivals, and other showcases shut down due to restrictions on movement and groups. Funding is a key goal of Actors Equity and other arts unions.

"When arts and cultural venues are shuttered and artists and all others are out of work, there is no doubt these are exceedingly difficult times," said Udall. The GOP screamed about the arts funds but lost. Sen. John Cornyn. R-Texas, alleged, without proof, the Democrats wanted to insert tax credits for solar panels, and fuel standards for airplanes, but they lost those battles.

  • $100 million more for the Bureau of Prisons, and lawmakers told BOP to use it to buy N95 masks and other protective equipment for corrections officers. The Assistance to Firefighters grants program, where the feds help local departments with equipment purchases, also gets $100 million for the same reason. That program is a key Fire Fighters cause.

Federal prisons are so overcrowded – and thus breeding grounds for coronavirus transmission – that the officers, members of the Government Employees, need the devices. The money bill also orders the Justice Department to look into more "home detention" of non-violent offenders, to ease the crowding and the danger.

  • And the Health and Human Services Department got $27.5 billion to, in so many words, devise ways to bring the supply chain for medicines – especially for vaccines against the coronavirus – back to the U.S. Left unsaid: Many of the ingredients for the vaccines and parts for other U.S. medical equipment come from China, including Wuhan, where the pandemic began.

That money will run through Sept. 30, 2024, and go for "development of necessary countermeasures and vaccines, prioritizing platform-based technologies with U.S.-based manufacturing capabilities, the purchase of vaccines, therapeutics, diagnostics, necessary medical supplies, as well as medical surge capacity, addressing blood supply chain, workforce modernization, telehealth access, and infrastructure, initial advanced manufacturing, novel dispensing…and other preparedness and response activities," the stimulus bill says


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IMF: Europe’s COVID-19 Crisis and the Fund’s Response [feedly]

Europe's COVID-19 Crisis and the Fund's Response
https://blogs.imf.org/2020/03/30/europes-covid-19-crisis-and-the-funds-response/

This blog is part of a series providing regional analysis on the effects of the coronavirus.

By Poul M. Thomsen

COVID-19 has struck Europe with stunning ferocity. While we do not know how long the crisis will last, we know that the economic impact will be severe. In Europe's major economies, nonessential services closed by government decree account for about one-third of output. This means that each month these sectors remain closed translates into a 3 percent drop in annual GDP, and that's before other disruptions and spillovers to the rest of the economy are taken into account. A deep European recession this year is a foregone conclusion.

Europe's generally strong welfare systems and social market model will facilitate the delivery of targeted assistance to firms and households, but there should be no doubt about the complexity of this task: these systems were not constructed to meet demands of the magnitude now confronting Europe's policymakers. Countries are responding in innovative and unfamiliar ways, and they can learn from each other what approaches work best. To help them do so, the IMF has established a website that provides information on how individual countries are dealing with the practical problems they are encountering, helping distil emerging international best practice. This is just one of the ways in which we have moved quickly to adjust IMF surveillance to the dramatically changing circumstances.

All countries in Europe will need to respond aggressively to the crisis, in a manner that is both bold and commensurate to its scale. If there ever was a time for using available buffers and policy space, this is surely it. But the scope for responding differs markedly across Europe. To better understand the constraints facing countries as they seek to step up their crisis responses, it is useful to distinguish among three sets of countries: advanced European economies; emerging European economies that are members of the EU, but not of the Euro Area; and non-EU Emerging Economies, especially the smaller emerging markets.

Policymakers in the advanced economies have made good use of their policy space and institutions, putting in place large monetary and fiscal expansions to blunt the impact of the crisis. Fiscal rules and limits are rightly being suspended to enable large-scale emergency support, and fiscal deficits are being allowed to surge. Similarly, central banks have launched massive programs for asset purchases, and financial regulators have eased requirements to allow banks to continue to support customers in distress and the economy more broadly. As to the Euro Area, the large-scale interventions by the European Central Bank, and European leaders' call for the European Stability Mechanism to provide a European supplement to national fiscal efforts, are particularly critical in ensuring that countries with high public debt will have the fiscal space they need to react forcefully to the crisis. The determination of euro area leaders to do what it takes to stabilize the euro should not be underestimated.

Emerging-market economies that are members of the EU but not the Euro Area do not have the same policy space as advanced economies, but they will benefit significantly from having reduced their fiscal and external deficits and debt in recent years, and from having strengthened their bank systems. Substantial effort has gone into building buffers in these countries, and now is the time to use them.

As to policy space, our main concern at this juncture is with regard to smaller countries outside the EU. Fiscal space varies notably within this group, but they all lack the depth of financial markets and the EU linkages that contribute importantly to policy space. With limited access to external capital and smaller and less developed banking systems, many of these countries will find it difficult to finance large increases in their fiscal deficits. They also lack the same degree of potential access to financial support that EU members can benefit from, and from the broader umbrella of policy and institutional credibility that accompanies EU membership.

Not surprisingly, these countries are now turning to the IMF for financial assistance. Excluding Russia and Turkey, most of the nine non-EU emerging economies in Central and Eastern Europe have already applied for emergency assistance via the IMF's rapid financial support facilities. They join more than 70 other member countries throughout the world that have already sought access—totaling some $50 billion—to rapidly-disbursing, low-conditionality IMF emergency facilities to meet the immediate pressures arising from the COVID-19 crisis. More countries are likely to follow in what is already the largest number of requests for assistance ever received by the IMF at one time.

The Fund is moving as fast as possible to support the membership at this time of extraordinary systemic challenges. We are dramatically streamlining our internal rules and procedures so as to be able to respond with the speed, agility, and scale called for by this unprecedented peacetime challenge. Our shareholders—189 countries worldwide—expect nothing less, and we stand ready to play our role in supporting Europe's efforts to fight the pandemic


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