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Friday, August 31, 2018

We Need to Talk About the ‘Anthropocene’ [feedly]

The concept of 'anthropocene' -- considering the all around impact of human beings on the "earth system" -- is a good framework idea for considering ways to meet the many challenges facing global civilization. It injects --- tenderly -- the social and economic dimensions into the "climate change" debate. We need to say MORE than this article does, which only teases the reader with the need for structural social change, including changes in capitalism. The latter is the elephant in the room making any of the recommended  technological shifts and associated vast economic investments too doubtful to predict success.

Note that the billionaires, including the oil and gas owners as revelations from Exxon have shown, know full well that climate change will kill millions and cause huge, likely military, upheavals. The military is deep in to  planning for IT -- meaning,  to them, "Yeah, the losers will perish, but  I WILL NOT"  

If you can't fix capitalism --- and the only known way to do it is with "more -- but not too much -- socialism" --- then meeting the challenges will fall short. Market forces alone -- capitalisms -- are utterly indifferent to market failures. There is no correction. They simply collapse and rot. With no supply, demand moves on. Without social protection from "externalities", including those externalities that are themselves consequences of "market forces".

JM Keynes theories about the positive role public spending, money supply, and borrowing can play in correcting some market failures became a standard of economic science, because Roosevelt's New Deal and the second World War (a HUGE spending project) were as close as one gets to a laboratory historical proof of Keynes theory. Critics from the billionaire caucus then resisted Keynes, claiming that "in the long run" markets would correct. Keynes famous reply: "That may, or may not, be true, sir. But, in the long run -- we are all dead".. 

"Not me," says the billionaire.


We Need to Talk About the 'Anthropocene'

Why is the Anthropocene important? And what does our mass media's presentation of the Anthropocene tell us? Professor Emeritus Leslie Sklair shares his research.

There is an enormous amount of research on how 'climate change' and 'global warming' are being reported in the media all over the world. However, since beginning to study the Anthropocene (the geological concept intended to measure and name human impacts on the Earth System) it seems that while some academics, environmental professionals, and creative artists do engage actively with the Anthropocene, most educated and cultured elites do not. It is also becoming increasingly clear that most people in the world have either never heard of it or if they have, they have no clear idea about it. While climate change is important, it only tells part of the story of the threats to our planet and us.

Why is this important?

The simple answer is most scientists researching human impacts on the Earth System believe the Anthropocene presents credible existential threats to the survival of human life on the planet in the foreseeable future. In 2011, Nobel prize-winner Paul Crutzen (a leading populariser of the term) co-authored an article in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society which argued the ultimate drivers of the Anthropocene 'if they continue unabated through this century, may well threaten the viability of contemporary civilization and perhaps even the future existence of Homo sapiens'.

Researching how the Anthropocene is presented in mass media begins to answer my research questions – how likely is it that someone reading the daily news online will come across articles on the Anthropocene, and what will these articles tell them?

The project started in early 2017, and data has been collected from online searches of over 1,000 newspapers, magazines and other media websites from around 100 countries/regions from 2002 (the date of the first recorded articles) to the end of 2017. Media with paywalls and social media were excluded from the study.

The research has come up with some surprising results. Hundreds of Anthropocene articles are actually about events in the creative arts that incorporate Anthropocene references in their titles.  When it comes to the science reporting, it is the so-called 'good Anthropocene' that dominates press coverage, kicking the existential threats to human existence into the long grass.

Three very broad messages (Anthropocene Narratives) have been identified from the media searches:

  1. While posing problems, the Anthropocene is a great opportunity for industry, science and technology, mostly business as usual, and/or casual references to the idea.
  2. The planet and humanity itself are in danger, we cannot ignore the warning signs but if we are clever enough we can save ourselves and the planet with technological fixes, geoengineering, conservation, etc.
  3. We are in great danger, humanity cannot go on living and consuming as we do now, we must change our ways of life radically, for example by bringing capitalism to an end and creating new types of communities.

The first two narratives are often difficult to distinguish, and they have been characterised as versions of the 'good Anthropocene'- supported by a variety of think tanks and foundations, arguing that human ingenuity will minimise the risks posed by the Anthropocene in the various eco-systems that constitute the whole Earth System (climate, oceans, forests, soil, biodiversity, etc.). Relatively few articles advocate radical change to the status quo.

A serious appreciation of the potential dangers of the Anthropocene will provide a useful gateway for relatively uninformed publics into a variety of issues that are ignored or misrepresented by the media. It is understandable that both the science and media establishments, and the business and political interests which underpin them, would tend to lean towards reassurance rather than desperation in portraying the perils of the Anthropocene.

However, this is a high-risk situation, probably not for anyone living at present, possibly not even for their grand-children or their great grand-children, but almost certainly for generations to come. Given the continuing failures of governments and international organizations to act decisively, this is a reality that the media and all citizens need to grasp – the issue of human survival is at stake.

An open source article summarising the project to date can be found here.

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